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Math models could help police thwart city burglars

Math models could help police thwart city burglars

Science
Dec. 5 (UPI) -- Mathematicians in Spain have developed a new model they think more accurately predicts burglary patterns in urban environs. Previous models, mostly focused on burglaries in suburban environs, have emphasized location and spatial patterns. The linear model developed by researchers Joan Saldaña, Maria Aguareles, Albert Avinyó, Marta Pellicer and Jordi Ripoll places a greater emphasis on timing. The group of mathematicians and their new model was inspired by age-dependent population models. "Our model puts the emphasis on when -- rather than where -- the burglaries will take place and on the type of victimized houses, represented by their age," Avinyó said in a news release. The researchers defined age -- of both burglar and home -- as the amount of time...